The United Democratic Alliance (UDA) has retained its position as Kenya's most supported political party, but a new InfoTrak survey shows the race is tightening as the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) narrows the gap to just one percentage point ahead of the 2027 General Election.
The latest Infotrak Voice of the People poll places UDA at 22 per cent national support, with ODM close behind at 21 per cent. The findings point to a more competitive political environment, with the country's two biggest parties now separated by only a slim margin.
The survey ranked the Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP) as the third most popular political outfit with 9 per cent support. Jubilee Party followed with 6 per cent, while the Wiper Democratic Movement attracted 5 per cent.
Despite the competition among political parties, the poll found that a large section of Kenyans remains politically unattached. About 29 per cent of those interviewed said they do not identify with any political party, while 7 per cent declined to reveal their preference. Another 2 per cent said they support other political parties.
The regional findings showed UDA enjoying its strongest backing in North Eastern, where it received 45 per cent support, followed by Rift Valley at 39 per cent.
ODM continued to dominate in its traditional support bases, polling 50 per cent in Nyanza and 46 per cent at the Coast.
DCP recorded its highest support in the Central region, where it attracted 33 per cent, while Wiper remained strongest in the Eastern region with 23 per cent support.
The survey also revealed differences in political support across gender and age groups.
Among male respondents, UDA received 25 per cent support compared to 19 per cent among women. ODM attracted 23 per cent support from men and 19 per cent from women.
Among voters aged between 18 and 26 years, ODM emerged ahead with 26 per cent support, while UDA received 17 per cent.
Infotrak's trend analysis showed that UDA has recovered from earlier fluctuations in popularity. The party's support rose from 16 per cent in September 2024 to 22 per cent in June 2026.
ODM also posted steady growth during the same period, climbing from 16 per cent to 21 per cent.
DCP, which did not feature in previous surveys, made its first appearance with 9 per cent support.
Among the survey's key findings, Infotrak noted that UDA remained the country's leading political party by a one-point margin over ODM, while DCP had established itself as the third-largest political party.
The poll also highlighted that nearly three out of every ten Kenyans do not identify with any political party, pointing to a large group of voters whose political allegiance is yet to be settled.
The survey was conducted between June 22 and June 26, 2026, through Computer-Assisted Personal Interviews (CAPI) and Computer-Assisted Telephone Interviews (CATI).
It sampled 3,000 adults across all 47 counties and had a margin of error of plus or minus 1.79 per cent at a 95 per cent confidence level. The survey recorded a response rate of 99 per cent.