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Data presented in the framework links exposure to extreme heat with a 26% increase in the odds of preterm birth, raising concerns about the effects of rising temperatures on the health of mothers and their babies.
In its latest seasonal climate update released on Thursday, the agency said the sea-surface temperature anomaly in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific could reach about 3.7°C above normal between October and December. This would surpass the previous record of 2.6°C recorded between November 2015 and January 2016.
In a food safety advisory issued on Monday, the ministry said experience from previous El Niño seasons showed that heavy rains, flooding and high humidity could lead to a sharp rise in illnesses such as cholera, typhoid and aflatoxin poisoning.
In a public service advisory issued ahead of the October-November-December (OND) rains, the government through the Office of the Government Spokesperson and the Ministry of Information, Communications and the Digital Economy said the country should not wait for the weather to turn into a disaster before taking action.
The former Attorney General warned that the country was already dealing with several challenges that could be made worse by extreme weather. Farmers are facing the risk of crop losses, food security remains under pressure, while the health system continues to experience strikes and other disruptions.
The Kenya Meteorological Department has also warned that weather conditions could change sharply before the end of the year, with relatively dry months giving way to heavy rains and possible flooding.
Kenya Red Cross says March–May rains affected 41 counties, impacting 85,993 households and displacing 18,587. The floods destroyed 355 water sources and wiped out 38,955 acres of farmland, including in Tana River’s Tana Delta.
The US Climate Prediction Center said there is now an 82 per cent chance that El Niño conditions will develop during the May to July period.
The World Meteorological Organization says South Asia is likely to see below-average rainfall in the June–September 2026 monsoon, alongside above-normal temperatures. The forecast aims to help agriculture, water and heat-health planning.
The World Meteorological Organization says rising sea-surface temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific signal a possible El Niño onset between May and July 2026. Forecasts also point to above-normal temperatures in many regions, with rainfall impacts varying.