Hard truths. Bold Insights. Real talk.
The World Meteorological Organization says rising sea-surface temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific signal a possible El Niño onset between May and July 2026. Forecasts also point to above-normal temperatures in many regions, with rainfall impacts varying.
The Kenya Meteorological Department has yet to issue an official response on the outlook. However, it is expected to publish its February three-month forecast covering the long rains season from March to May.
The World Meteorological Organization confirms 2025 as one of the three warmest years on record, with record ocean heat and 2015–2025 the warmest 11-year period, underscoring the ongoing climate crisis.
The latest outlook from the Igad Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) shows that much of Eastern and Northern Kenya is likely to be hotter and drier than normal.