President William Ruto has tightened his grip on the race to State House, with a new Infotrak survey placing him comfortably ahead of his rivals and showing his support has continued to grow as political competition ahead of the 2027 General Election gathers pace.
The latest Voice of the People Poll released in July 2026 shows Ruto is the preferred presidential candidate among 32 per cent of respondents. The findings mark a steady rise from 21 per cent in August 2025 and 28 per cent in December 2025, making him the only candidate to record consistent growth across the three survey periods.
“William Ruto has consolidated his front-runner status, rising from 21 per cent in August 2025 to 28 per cent in December 2025 and 32 per cent in June 2026, a net gain of 11 percentage points," reads the report.
Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka ranks second with 13 per cent support, while Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna and former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang'i each attract 12 per cent support.
Infotrak says Kalonzo has continued to improve his standing over the past year, while Matiang'i has lost part of the support he previously enjoyed. The poll also points to Sifuna's rise, placing him among the leading contenders for the first time.
“Kalonzo Musyoka has strengthened steadily, moving from 8 per cent to 12 per cent to 13 per cent, making him the closest named challenger in the latest wave. Fred Matiang'i has softened from 15 per cent to 12 per cent, while Edwin Sifuna emerges sharply in June at 12 per cent after negligible visibility in December 2025," Infotrak said.
Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua follows with 4 per cent support, while Embakasi East MP Babu Owino has 3 per cent. Former Chief Justice David Maraga records 2 per cent, with People Liberation Party leader Martha Karua and other candidates each receiving 1 per cent.
The survey was conducted between June 22 and June 26, 2026, and interviewed 3,000 adults across all 47 counties. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.79 per cent at the 95 per cent confidence level.
The findings further show that 18 per cent of respondents have not settled on a preferred presidential candidate if the election were held today.
Across the regions, Ruto records his highest support in North Eastern at 59 per cent. He is followed by Rift Valley at 46 per cent, Nyanza at 40 per cent, Western at 35 per cent and the Coast at 33 per cent. He receives 19 per cent support in both Eastern and Nairobi, while Central records his lowest rating at 12 per cent.
Kalonzo enjoys his strongest backing in Nyanza, where he has 45 per cent support, followed by Eastern at 40 per cent. Sifuna performs best in Rift Valley, attracting 26 per cent support.
Matiang'i records his highest support in Central at 19 per cent. He also receives 17 per cent backing in Nairobi and 16 per cent in Nyanza.
Gachagua's best performance is in Eastern, where he receives 12 per cent support, while Babu Owino's strongest showing is in Nairobi at 6 per cent.
The survey also measured support based on political party affiliation. Among UDA supporters, 87 per cent back President Ruto.
Within ODM, support is split, with Ruto attracting 38 per cent, Sifuna receiving 23 per cent and 39 per cent giving other responses.
Kalonzo remains the overwhelming favourite among Wiper supporters, with 89 per cent saying they would vote for him.
Among Democracy for Citizens Party supporters, Gachagua leads with 24 per cent support, while Kalonzo and Sifuna are tied at 20 per cent each.
Matiang'i dominates among Jubilee supporters with 60 per cent backing. President Ruto follows with 12 per cent, while 11 per cent give other responses.
Among respondents without a political party preference, 34 per cent remain undecided. Of those who named a candidate, Ruto and Matiang'i are tied at 14 per cent, while Sifuna follows with 13 per cent.
The survey also shows the number of undecided voters and those unwilling to reveal their preferred candidate has continued to decline, falling from 36 per cent in August 2025 to 29 per cent in December 2025 before dropping further to 20 per cent in June 2026.